CS2 weekly drop: which cases and skins drop and what they're worth
What's in the CS2 weekly drop right now: three cases, two terminals and 124 skins from five collections. Drop chances, 30-day Steam median prices and what's worth picking.
Once a week CS2 shows you four items and lets you keep two. In November 2026 that can be three cases, two terminals, skins from five collections and graffiti, and since the fall also a pet chicken egg or chicken feed. Below is the full list with drop chances and prices. We worked out the prices ourselves from the sales history on the Steam Community Market: the median of the last 30 days (October 11 to November 10), so one-off spikes and dips barely move it.
How to get the weekly drop
First you need Prime. Without it the game gives you no XP, so there’s no care package either. What Prime costs and whether it ever goes on sale is covered in does CS2 Prime ever get a discount.
The package unlocks with your first level-up of the week, which is 5,000 XP. Early in the week XP comes with a bonus, so three or four Premier or Competitive matches are usually enough. Only official Valve servers count. Community servers and FACEIT give no XP. A second level-up in the same week won’t bring a second package.
The week resets on Wednesday at 01:00 UTC, which is Tuesday evening in the US. You pick two of the four options and the other two are gone.
Since September 22, 2026, the options can include a pet chicken egg or chicken feed. Both take up both picks: grab the egg and there’s no case for you that week. How the pet grows is in how long it takes for an egg to become a chicken, and feeding is covered in can your chicken die and how do you feed it.
Which cases can drop in the weekly drop?
Right now the drop has five containers: three regular cases and two terminals.
| Container | In the drop since | Share among containers | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Dreams & Nightmares Case | January 2022 | ≈ 17% | $1.16–1.29 |
 |
Sealed Dead Hand Terminal | March 11, 2026 | ≈ 32% | $0.29–0.39 |
 |
Revolution Case | February 2023 | ≈ 17% | $0.20–0.22 |
 |
Kilowatt Case | February 2024 | ≈ 17% | $0.12–0.13 |
 |
Sealed Genesis Terminal | September 16, 2025 | ≈ 17% | $0.07–0.08 |
The shares come from community trackers that log drops. Valve doesn’t publish odds. By their numbers the Dead Hand terminal shows up almost twice as often as any other container. The price is the range between the cheapest quarter and the most expensive quarter of days over the last 30 days.
The lineup changes without any announcement. In September 2025, Fracture Case left the drop when the Genesis terminal arrived, and on March 11, 2026, the Dead Hand terminal took Recoil Case’s spot. Those dates come from players who track drops. Valve’s patch notes only mentioned the new terminals. Gallery Case and Fever Case never come in the weekly package; the Armory hands those out.
Why drop cases keep getting cheaper
While collecting prices, we noticed that containers sell for less at the end of the month than at the start. So we looked at the sales history back to late April, and all five show the same thing: the price drops every month without a single bounce.
| Container | Late April | July | October | Late 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dreams & Nightmares Case | $2.24 | $1.80 | $1.31 | $1.15 |
|
Sealed Dead Hand Terminal | $3.05 | $1.35 | $0.42 | $0.29 |
|
Revolution Case | $0.50 | $0.39 | $0.22 | $0.20 |
|
Kilowatt Case | $0.39 | $0.24 | $0.14 | $0.12 |
|
Sealed Genesis Terminal | $0.30 | $0.14 | $0.08 | $0.07 |
These are average monthly sale prices. Dead Hand lost 90% of its price in six months, Dreams & Nightmares about half.
The obvious explanation is that the drop adds millions of new cases every week, so of course they get cheaper. We tested that on two cases that left the drop. Recoil Case sold for $0.34 before March 11, and by April, out of the drop, it had climbed to $0.65. Fracture Case kept rising for six months after it left in September 2025, from $0.51 to $0.97. So leaving the drop really does push the price up.
But since May those two have been falling as well. By November Recoil was down to $0.28 and Fracture to $0.48, both roughly half off their peak. So in spring 2026 the whole case market started sliding, and the weekly drop just adds to it. The price history alone can’t tell you why.
The practical takeaway stays the same: sell a dropped case right away instead of waiting for it to go up. Holding one only paid off if you guessed that Valve was about to pull it from the drop, and Valve never says so in advance.
What a terminal is and whether to open it
A terminal is a container that needs no key. Instead of a spin it shows you an offer: a specific skin from its collection, the wear and the price you can buy it for. Don’t like it? Skip and see the next one. You get five offers, occasionally a sixth. If you buy nothing, the terminal is gone. An opened terminal can’t be resealed, while a sealed one can be sold or traded like any case.
The Genesis terminal (added September 16, 2025) holds 17 skins from Mil-Spec to Covert; the Covert ones are M4A4 | Full Throttle and AK-47 | The Oligarch. Dead Hand (March 11, 2026) also has 17 skins, with AWP | Queen’s Gambit and Glock-18 | Fully Tuned at Covert. On top of that come 22 new gloves, the first new gloves in the game since December 2020.
Players estimate the rarity odds in offers to match regular cases: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.2%, Covert 0.64%, gloves 0.26%. With five offers, gloves show up in roughly one terminal out of 77.
We’d sell a sealed terminal. You don’t need a key, but every offer is a purchase, and from what players report the prices are close to market value. So a terminal doesn’t give you a free skin, it gives you the chance to buy one from its collection. That’s useful if you already wanted something from there. If not, 30 cents in your Steam Wallet beats five skipped offers.
What happened to the rare drop pool
Until December 2025 the weekly package had a second, “rare” list: old cases like Operation Bravo Case or CS:GO Weapon Case that came up in about 1% of drops. Around December 17, 2025, they stopped dropping. Valve never announced anything, so nobody knows whether that list is gone for good or will come back.
Which skins can drop in the weekly drop?
Skins come from five collections, 124 skins in total. Valve added Ascent, Boreal and Radiant on March 31, 2025 (Bank, Italy, Lake and the original Train left the drop then), and Harlequin and Achroma on January 21, 2026, replacing Safehouse, Dust 2, Nuke 2018 and Inferno 2018.
The highest rarity here is Classified. There are no Covert skins, knives, gloves or StatTrak in the weekly package.
Valve doesn’t disclose the odds, and community estimates differ, so here’s a range:
| Rarity | Skins in the drop | Chance a skin is this rarity |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Grade | 50 | 65–80% |
| Industrial Grade | 34 | 16–25% |
| Mil-Spec | 24 | 3–8% |
| Restricted | 11 | 0.6–1% |
| Classified | 5 | 0.1–0.2% |
The chance for a specific skin in the tables below is the chance of its rarity divided by the number of skins of that rarity. That’s an assumption, since nobody knows exactly how the game picks the collection. By the same estimates, wear splits like this: Factory New about 3%, Minimal Wear 24%, Field-Tested 33%, Well-Worn 24%, Battle-Scarred 16%.
The price runs from the cheapest wear to the most expensive one, as a 30-day median. We left out any wear that sold on fewer than 10 of those 30 days, because a median of a handful of sales is misleading.
Classified (5)
| Skin and collection | Chance | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge Radiant |
0.02–0.04% | $5.39–65 |
 |
AWP | The End Achroma |
0.02–0.04% | $9.37–48 |
 |
M4A1-S | Stratosphere Ascent |
0.02–0.04% | $3.06–32 |
 |
AWP | Green Energy Boreal |
0.02–0.04% | $3.40–32 |
 |
M4A1-S | Party Animal Harlequin |
0.02–0.04% | $7.31–24 |
Restricted (11)
| Skin and collection | Chance | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate Ascent |
0.055–0.091% | $2.58–15 |
 |
Desert Eagle | Mulberry Radiant |
0.055–0.091% | $1.09–14 |
 |
AWP | Exothermic Harlequin |
0.055–0.091% | $2.86–9.01 |
 |
AK-47 | Breakthrough Achroma |
0.055–0.091% | $2.16–9.01 |
 |
USP-S | Sleeping Potion Harlequin |
0.055–0.091% | $0.85–8.19 |
 |
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint Radiant |
0.055–0.091% | $1.37–5.84 |
 |
Glock-18 | Trace Lock Achroma |
0.055–0.091% | $0.91–5.68 |
 |
USP-S | Bleeding Edge Radiant |
0.055–0.091% | $1.13–5.58 |
 |
USP-S | Royal Guard Ascent |
0.055–0.091% | $0.57–5.41 |
 |
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning Boreal |
0.055–0.091% | $0.70–4.87 |
 |
Glock-18 | Glockingbird Boreal |
0.055–0.091% | $0.62–3.66 |
Mil-Spec (24)
| Skin and collection | Chance | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
AK-47 | Wintergreen Boreal |
0.13–0.33% | $0.63–4.32 |
 |
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane Harlequin |
0.13–0.33% | $0.20–2.45 |
 |
Galil AR | Sky Mandala Harlequin |
0.13–0.33% | $0.23–1.67 |
 |
FAMAS | Yeti Camo Ascent |
0.13–0.33% | $0.19–1.57 |
 |
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom Radiant |
0.13–0.33% | $0.23–1.49 |
 |
USP-S | Tropical Breeze Boreal |
0.13–0.33% | $0.32–1.26 |
 |
AUG | Creep Achroma |
0.13–0.33% | $0.16–1.21 |
 |
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley Ascent |
0.13–0.33% | $0.20–1.01 |
 |
P250 | Red Tide Radiant |
0.13–0.33% | $0.16–0.97 |
 |
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan Ascent |
0.13–0.33% | $0.22–0.93 |
 |
P2000 | Royal Baroque Ascent |
0.13–0.33% | $0.19–0.89 |
 |
P90 | Reef Grief Ascent |
0.13–0.33% | $0.18–0.88 |
 |
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala Harlequin |
0.13–0.33% | $0.18–0.85 |
 |
AWP | Arsenic Spill Radiant |
0.13–0.33% | $0.44–0.84 |
 |
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded Harlequin |
0.13–0.33% | $0.19–0.83 |
 |
SSG 08 | Blush Pour Radiant |
0.13–0.33% | $0.15–0.81 |
 |
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle Achroma |
0.13–0.33% | $0.21–0.81 |
 |
P2000 | Grip Tape Achroma |
0.13–0.33% | $0.16–0.80 |
 |
MP9 | Shredded Radiant |
0.13–0.33% | $0.17–0.74 |
 |
P90 | Aeolian Light Achroma |
0.13–0.33% | $0.16–0.72 |
 |
M4A1-S | Rose Hex Radiant |
0.13–0.33% | $0.19–0.68 |
 |
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket Boreal |
0.13–0.33% | $0.09–0.47 |
 |
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf Boreal |
0.13–0.33% | $0.09–0.39 |
 |
XM1014 | Copperflage Boreal |
0.13–0.33% | $0.09–0.39 |
Industrial Grade (34)
| Skin and collection | Chance | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
SSG 08 | Calligrafaux Harlequin |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–1.18 |
 |
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite Boreal |
0.47–0.74% | $0.05–0.87 |
 |
AK-47 | VariCamo Grey Boreal |
0.47–0.74% | $0.09–0.44 |
 |
Negev | Sour Grapes Ascent |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.43 |
 |
Glock-18 | Ocean Topo Ascent |
0.47–0.74% | $0.09–0.41 |
 |
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre Ascent |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.38 |
 |
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue Ascent |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.31 |
 |
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo Ascent |
0.47–0.74% | $0.05–0.30 |
 |
MP7 | Coral Paisley Harlequin |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.26 |
 |
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark Achroma |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.24 |
 |
MP5-SD | Picnic Harlequin |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.24 |
 |
Galil AR | Robin’s Egg Ascent |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.22 |
 |
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber Achroma |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.22 |
 |
Five-SeveN | Sky Blue Ascent |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.22 |
 |
Galil AR | O-Ranger Radiant |
0.47–0.74% | $0.03–0.22 |
 |
M4A4 | Steel Work Radiant |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.20 |
 |
Tec-9 | Garter-9 Boreal |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.20 |
 |
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf Harlequin |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.19 |
 |
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper Boreal |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.18 |
 |
FAMAS | Grey Ghost Radiant |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.18 |
 |
P250 | Sedimentary Radiant |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.17 |
 |
Nova | Turquoise Pour Ascent |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.17 |
 |
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo Ascent |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.17 |
 |
XM1014 | XoooM Harlequin |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.17 |
 |
P90 | Mustard Gas Boreal |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.16 |
 |
Galil AR | Acid Dart Boreal |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.16 |
 |
MAC-10 | Snow Splash Achroma |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.16 |
 |
P2000 | Marsh Boreal |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.16 |
 |
Tec-9 | Citric Acid Radiant |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.16 |
 |
MAC-10 | Acid Hex Boreal |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.15 |
 |
FAMAS | Vendetta Achroma |
0.47–0.74% | $0.03–0.15 |
 |
MP5-SD | Snow Splash Achroma |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.15 |
 |
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear Boreal |
0.47–0.74% | $0.04–0.15 |
 |
SG 553 | Basket Halftone Radiant |
0.47–0.74% | $0.03–0.14 |
Consumer Grade (50)
| Skin and collection | Chance | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
Tec-9 | Blue Blast Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.14 |
 |
MP9 | Bee-Tron Harlequin |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.12 |
 |
MP9 | Buff Blue Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.10 |
 |
MP7 | Short Ochre Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.08 |
 |
Dual Berettas | BorDeux Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.08 |
 |
R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.07 |
 |
MAC-10 | Bronzer Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.07 |
 |
SG 553 | Night Camo Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.06 |
 |
R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside Harlequin |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.06 |
 |
Tec-9 | Raw Ceramic Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.06 |
 |
Negev | Raw Ceramic Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.06 |
 |
Sawed-Off | Runoff Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.06 |
 |
SSG 08 | Green Ceramic Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.06 |
 |
P250 | Sleet Achroma |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.06 |
 |
FAMAS | Palm Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.05 |
 |
Dual Berettas | Silver Pour Achroma |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.05 |
 |
MP9 | Pine Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.05 |
 |
CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.05 |
 |
P250 | Copper Oxide Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.05 |
 |
SG 553 | Safari Print Harlequin |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.05 |
 |
Five-SeveN | Autumn Thicket Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley Harlequin |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
SCAR-20 | Short Ochre Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
AUG | Commando Company Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
M249 | Sleet Achroma |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
UMP-45 | Green Swirl Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
MP5-SD | Lime Hex Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
Nova | Marsh Grass Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
G3SG1 | Red Jasper Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
MAG-7 | Copper Oxide Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
P250 | Plum Netting Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
MAC-10 | Storm Camo Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
P90 | Desert Halftone Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
M249 | Sage Camo Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
G3SG1 | Green Cell Boreal |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
MP9 | Dizzy Achroma |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents Harlequin |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
P90 | Blue Tac Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
Galil AR | Grey Smoke Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
PP-Bizon | Bizoom Achroma |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
Nova | Currents Achroma |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
XM1014 | Canvas Cloud Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik Harlequin |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke Ascent |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
MP9 | Multi-Terrain Radiant |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
FAMAS | Byproduct Harlequin |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
SSG 08 | Sans Comic Achroma |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
 |
SCAR-20 | Zinc Achroma |
1.3–1.6% | $0.03–0.04 |
What’s worth picking
An average skin from the weekly package is worth 8 to 11 cents. We got that from the tables above: for each rarity we took the average price weighted by how often each wear drops, then multiplied it by the chance of that rarity. Almost all of that value comes from the rare lucky drops. Consumer and Industrial skins make up four drops out of five and sell for 3 to 6 cents, and 3 cents is the lowest price anything can sell for on the Steam Market.
So at November prices, the order goes like this:
- Dreams & Nightmares Case, around $1.10–1.20.
- A Classified skin, if you get lucky: from $3 even in the worst wear, more than any container.
- A Restricted skin: from $0.57, usually $1–3. Only Dreams & Nightmares beats it, and often not even that.
- The Dead Hand terminal, around $0.30.
- Revolution Case and a Mil-Spec skin, both around $0.20. A Mil-Spec in good wear can go for $1–4, check the table.
- Kilowatt Case, $0.12.
- The Genesis terminal ($0.07), Industrial and Consumer skins: pocket change.
We’d take graffiti last, unless you actually want it.
Mind the fee: when you sell, Steam and Valve take about 13% of what the buyer pays. A Dreams & Nightmares case sold for $1.15 puts about $1 in your wallet, and a 3-cent skin puts in one cent.
Over a year it doesn’t add up to much. If you get Dreams & Nightmares and Dead Hand every single week, that’s about $70 in your wallet at today’s prices. If it’s only Genesis and Consumer skins, under $10. The real number lands somewhere in between, and with prices falling, closer to the low end.
One more thing about the chicken. A week with an egg or feed is a week without two items, so it costs you somewhere between $0.10 and $1.50. An egg plus about seven bags of feed over a 140-day life eats eight weeks of drops, which at November prices means roughly $1–12 in missed cases and skins. We worked out the lifespan in how long does a chicken live in CS2.
